Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.000149 0.000164 0.000181 0.000201 0.000222 0.000246 0.000274
2025-06-22 0.000122 0.000145 0.000172 0.000205 0.000247 0.000296 0.000359
2025-06-29 0.000101 0.000127 0.000159 0.000201 0.000257 0.000327 0.000425
2025-07-06 0.000085 0.000112 0.000145 0.000192 0.000257 0.000345 0.000474
2025-07-13 0.000077 0.000104 0.000140 0.000193 0.000270 0.000378 0.000547
2025-07-20 0.000071 0.000098 0.000137 0.000196 0.000284 0.000415 0.000629
2025-07-27 0.000064 0.000092 0.000132 0.000194 0.000292 0.000443 0.000700
2025-08-03 0.000060 0.000088 0.000130 0.000197 0.000307 0.000482 0.000794
2025-08-10 0.000055 0.000083 0.000125 0.000195 0.000312 0.000505 0.000864
2025-08-17 0.000051 0.000078 0.000121 0.000193 0.000317 0.000530 0.000941
2025-08-24 0.000047 0.000074 0.000116 0.000189 0.000319 0.000549 0.001008
2025-08-31 0.000043 0.000069 0.000110 0.000183 0.000317 0.000559 0.001059
2025-09-07 0.000041 0.000067 0.000109 0.000186 0.000331 0.000602 0.001186
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000065 0.000108 0.000190 0.000347 0.000654 0.001340
2025-09-21 0.000036 0.000061 0.000103 0.000186 0.000348 0.000675 0.001434
2025-09-28 0.000033 0.000056 0.000097 0.000178 0.000341 0.000678 0.001486
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000054 0.000095 0.000178 0.000351 0.000718 0.001632
2025-10-12 0.000030 0.000053 0.000095 0.000181 0.000365 0.000769 0.001815
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000051 0.000092 0.000179 0.000371 0.000802 0.001958
2025-10-26 0.000027 0.000050 0.000092 0.000182 0.000386 0.000859 0.002173
2025-11-02 0.000026 0.000047 0.000089 0.000180 0.000388 0.000886 0.002316
2025-11-09 0.000024 0.000045 0.000087 0.000178 0.000393 0.000919 0.002478
2025-11-16 0.000023 0.000043 0.000084 0.000175 0.000393 0.000940 0.002612